Towson
W-L: ( 8-11) PR = 84.1019Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 14-11 209 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 6-15 214 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 9-17 219 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 11-15 221 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 5-17 304 H Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 12-13 307 H Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 14-13 314 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 12-11 318 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 7-15 321 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 10- 6 328 H Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 10-13 403 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 7-19 411 H Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 14-12 415 A Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 9-20 419 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 16- 7 422 A Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 8-20 425 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 12-11 430 N Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 14-11 502 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 7-18
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Mount St Marys 14-11 3 1 1.91
209 A Villanova 6-15 -9 -4 -- -5.26
214 H Georgetown 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.51
219 A Denver 11-15 -4 -11 +++ 7.05
221 A Colorado 5-17 -12 -11 -0.83
304 H Temple 12-13 -1 -1 0.01
307 H Jacksonville 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.57
314 A Campbell 12-11 1 1 0.00
318 A Loyola (MD) 7-15 -8 -7 -1.20
321 A William & Mary 10- 6 4 3 1.15
328 H Hofstra 10-13 -3 1 - -3.91
403 A Stony Brook 7-19 -12 -11 -1.03
411 H Drexel 14-12 2 2 -0.22
415 A Princeton 9-20 -11 -10 -1.10
419 H Elon 16- 7 9 3 +++ 6.47
422 A Penn 8-20 -12 -6 -- -5.60
425 A Monmouth (NJ) 12-11 1 3 -1.94
430 N Hofstra 14-11 3 0 + 3.46
502 A Stony Brook 7-18 -11 -11 -0.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Villanova 6-15 -9 -4 -- -5.26 422 A Penn 8-20 -12 -6 -- -5.60 214 H Georgetown 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.51 328 H Hofstra 10-13 -3 1 - -3.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Denver 11-15 -4 -11 +++ 7.05 419 H Elon 16- 7 9 3 +++ 6.47 307 H Jacksonville 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.57 430 N Hofstra 14-11 3 0 + 3.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 14-11 -18.26 21.91 1.37 0.91 42.44
3 A Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 6-15 -13.43 26.74 1.37 0.91 -5.50
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 9-17 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 0.91 -5.16
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 11-15 -6.12 34.05 1.37 0.91 -2.16
3 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 5-17 -5.99 34.18 1.37 0.91 -2.11
3 H Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 12-13 -13.42 26.75 -1.37 0.91 -6.74
3 H Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 14-13 -10.86 29.30 -1.37 0.91 50.94
3 A Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 12-11 -18.17 22.00 1.37 0.91 42.62
3 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 7-15 -10.37 29.80 1.37 0.91 -4.10
3 A William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 10- 6 -20.02 20.15 1.37 0.91 39.24
3 H Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 10-13 -15.34 24.83 -1.37 0.91 -7.62
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 7-19 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.91 -2.20
3 H Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 14-12 -16.65 23.52 -1.37 0.91 40.39
3 A Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 9-20 -7.27 32.90 1.37 0.91 -2.69
3 H Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 16- 7 -16.96 23.21 -1.37 0.91 39.83
3 A Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 8-20 -10.76 29.40 1.37 0.91 -4.28
3 A Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 12-11 -20.10 20.06 1.37 0.91 39.08
3 N Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 14-11 -15.34 24.83 -0.00 0.91 45.27
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 7-18 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.91 -2.20
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295.06
|
winning pts = 339.8168 losing points = -44.7559
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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